Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001174 0.001317 0.001460 0.001615 0.001777 0.001940 0.002117
2025-05-25 0.000905 0.001116 0.001336 0.001581 0.001844 0.002117 0.002419
2025-06-01 0.000696 0.000958 0.001243 0.001570 0.001930 0.002311 0.002741
2025-06-08 0.000540 0.000840 0.001183 0.001588 0.002045 0.002538 0.003101
2025-06-15 0.000425 0.000758 0.001155 0.001638 0.002195 0.002803 0.003508
2025-06-22 0.000311 0.000660 0.001098 0.001650 0.002299 0.003018 0.003860
2025-06-29 0.000214 0.000567 0.001039 0.001653 0.002390 0.003217 0.004196
2025-07-06 0.000142 0.000494 0.000997 0.001672 0.002496 0.003433 0.004549
2025-07-13 0.000081 0.000418 0.000942 0.001670 0.002575 0.003615 0.004865
2025-07-20 0.000036 0.000346 0.000885 0.001659 0.002639 0.003779 0.005158
2025-07-27 0.000016 0.000314 0.000879 0.001713 0.002782 0.004033 0.005554
2025-08-03 0.000005 0.000291 0.000885 0.001780 0.002940 0.004305 0.005970
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000201 0.000774 0.001688 0.002902 0.004350 0.006132
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000143 0.000703 0.001646 0.002924 0.004465 0.006374
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000102 0.000653 0.001628 0.002976 0.004615 0.006657
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000076 0.000625 0.001643 0.003067 0.004813 0.006996
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000061 0.000621 0.001690 0.003202 0.005063 0.007397
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000041 0.000593 0.001699 0.003285 0.005250 0.007723
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000024 0.000562 0.001701 0.003357 0.005421 0.008029
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000013 0.000542 0.001718 0.003448 0.005616 0.008364
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000004 0.000511 0.001715 0.003510 0.005774 0.008653
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.000477 0.001703 0.003559 0.005914 0.008920
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.000481 0.001757 0.003698 0.006167 0.009321